We’ve seen the insanely skilled fail to get all they deserve as well as the opposite; the obviously incompetent rise to great heights. Skill and luck are influential, of that we all agree.
Here’s the thing: I can’t prove it, but I can’t shake the hunch that after a certain point, it isn’t skill or luck that decides the outcome, but some hidden psychic or magical action. In terms of reality, a multilayered decision to just BE something rather than chase after it.